Eluding catastrophic shifts
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Eluding catastrophic shifts.
Transitions between regimes with radically different properties are ubiquitous in nature. Such transitions can occur either smoothly or in an abrupt and catastrophic fashion. Important examples of the latter can be found in ecology, climate sciences, and economics, to name a few, where regime shifts have catastrophic consequences that are mostly irreversible (e.g., desertification, coral reef c...
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Catastrophic shifts are known to pose a serious threat to ecology, and a reliable set of early warning indicators is desperately needed. However, the tools suggested so far have two problems. First, they cannot discriminate between a smooth transition and an imminent irreversible shift. Second, they aimed at predicting the tipping point where a state loses its stability, but in noisy spatial sy...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
سال: 2015
ISSN: 0027-8424,1091-6490
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1414708112